Horse Tips

If you want to win regularly, beting on horses which won their last races is one of our favourtie horse tips. Using this approach you will automatically eliminate the vast majority of runners - and at the same time, the vast majority of losers! If there are several horses in the same race which won their last races, you can either bet on all of them or you can ignore the race altogether. Some people limit themselves to betting on a maximum of three previous winners in the same race. If there are more than three previous winners, the race is ignored.

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The theory behind this one of our horse tips is simple: By betting on horses which have already proved that they can win, you are not expecting them to do anything more than they have already achieved. All you want is for them to run to the best of their ability.

Lightweights and outsiders

Lightweights in Handicap Races

Lightweights win their share of handicap races and because they do not have the class of other contenders, frequently start at big prices. The ones to look out for using our horse tips are those whose overall form shows evidence of the ability to win, regardless of the class of race in which they normally compete, even if they have not performed well very recently. Two or three ‘1’s in the six-digit form shown in most newspapers are often tell-tale signs of a possible big win off a low weight.

Outsiders.

Look out for horses whose previous outing was in a handicap of similar importance or value, even if they ran down the field. Connections of such animals obviously fancy their chances for a big win. Things may have gone wrong in running last time, or the horse may not have 'fired' as was hoped, but it could well pop up at a long price when the betting public least expects it.

Standard Winning Percentages.

Over the years horses going off as favourites have won approximately 33% of the time, while second choices, horses with the next lowest odds after the favourite, will win about 20% of the time, and third choices, the next down in send-off position, will win the race about 15% of the time. Altogether, the top three choices account for just below 70% of all wins. Favourites will place a bit over 50% of the time, while second choices place around 40% and third choices around 30%. Keep in mind that these percentages haven't changed much over the years, but it doesn't mean they will hold true over short periods on a particular track.


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Page Last Updated: 30/04/2009 11:42:53