CASINOS
|
The 'Hit and Run' Method of Gambling
|
|
Dear Mark, I
have noticed that you recommend the quick, hit-and-run method of gambling,
unless of course, you are on the winning streak from heaven. Wouldn't waiting
for the win streak to occur be a better way to play? Gerald H. How
would you know when it started, Gerald? The reason I highly recommend
hit-and-run gambling is that short-term play is the breeding ground for unusual
fluctuations, where -- briefly -- results seem to defy the dictates of
probability. The casino's built-in advantage may not tick over during brief
stints. It is to your advantage to make your gambling timeline as short as
possible, and here's why: the casino's advantage is quite real, but it's
predicated on the operation of the "law of averages" over a long period. (In
Old World casinos, it's even called the "law of large numbers" -- not a bad
name considering that thousands of players bet on millions of hands, year-in
year-out.) By exposing your money for an extended period, you veer
unavoidably closer to the ultimate built-in loss that the casino's statistician
has prepared for you. Brevity of gambling session is, for that reason, a handy
secret weapon for you. It's not guaranteed to make you win; but a long session
is guaranteed to make you lose. The casino edge for slot machines, and for
that matter for all casino games, is based on long-term trials. Casinos, open
24 hours a day, greet with a big smile those millions of hands of blackjack and
handle pulls. With thousands of hopefuls playing slots, craps, roulette, and
blackjack at any given moment, and with a mathematical advantage to the casino
in every one of them, the casino can't lose, but players who lengthen their
bankroll's exposure give the casino a correspondingly greater opportunity to
eat it. Bottom line: Your best chance to win comes when you shorten your
playing time, exploiting any favorable deviations from the law of big numbers
that may occur. Of course, when you've won the entire casino, then you opt for
all-night gambling sessions. Until then, master the hit-and-run method of
gambling. |
|